Harris enjoys ‘best polling’ of campaign vs. Trump: CNN breaks down VP’s path to 270 electoral votes
Posted on 09/20/2024
Vice President Harris is seeing some of the “best polling” in her campaign this week as she attempts to widen the gap between her and former President Trump, according to CNN data reporter Harry Enten.
Enten discussed on Thursday recent polling that has been released from Quinnipiac University, The New York Times, Franklin & Marshall and Marist College. He said on CNN that the polling shows the swing state of Pennsylvania leaning toward Harris as the two candidates compete for the must-win state.
He then showed an aggregate of polling in the Great Lake battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that show Harris with a narrow lead in all three states. He said that Harris can get to 270 electoral votes if she wins those three states.
“Keep in mind, Kamala Harris can win with just these northern battleground states: Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. So if we lean all of those blue here and even if we give Donald Trump, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada, Kamala Harris gets to exactly 270 electoral votes,” he said.
“And based upon the polling averages at this particular point, though, it is close in those Great Lake battleground states, they do at this time lean a little bit more towards Harris’s direction than Donald Trump’s direction,” he added.
Enten went on to say that Harris “has an absolutely clear path to 270.”
“I would argue at this particular hour, this was the best polling for Kamala Harris, arguably the entire campaign, because in the states that she needs to win, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, the average of the polls do, in fact, show her ahead,” he said.
“And she doesn’t need to win any of those southern battleground states, she wins those northern battleground states to get to exactly 270 electoral votes,” he continued.
The presidential election will likely come down to the battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina and Georgia. A Politico analysis explained that Trump only needs to win Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia to secure a second term to the White House.
“If Vice President Kamala Harris can’t carry Pennsylvania, her only hope is on a Southern strategy. Harris must win either Georgia or North Carolina. She has no other path to the White House. The election could well be determined when polls close in the eastern time zone,” Politico’s Jonathan Martin wrote in a Thursday column.
The Quinnipiac University Poll has Harris up 5 points in a head-to-head matchup with Trump in Pennsylvania. The New York Times/The Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College poll, released Thursday, found Harris with a 4-point lead over the former president in Pennsylvania.
A Franklin & Marshall poll has Harris up by 3 points in the state while the Marist poll found that Harris and Trump are tied among likely voters in Pennsylvania with 49 percent of support each.
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Enten discussed on Thursday recent polling that has been released from Quinnipiac University, The New York Times, Franklin & Marshall and Marist College. He said on CNN that the polling shows the swing state of Pennsylvania leaning toward Harris as the two candidates compete for the must-win state.
He then showed an aggregate of polling in the Great Lake battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that show Harris with a narrow lead in all three states. He said that Harris can get to 270 electoral votes if she wins those three states.
“Keep in mind, Kamala Harris can win with just these northern battleground states: Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. So if we lean all of those blue here and even if we give Donald Trump, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada, Kamala Harris gets to exactly 270 electoral votes,” he said.
“And based upon the polling averages at this particular point, though, it is close in those Great Lake battleground states, they do at this time lean a little bit more towards Harris’s direction than Donald Trump’s direction,” he added.
Enten went on to say that Harris “has an absolutely clear path to 270.”
“I would argue at this particular hour, this was the best polling for Kamala Harris, arguably the entire campaign, because in the states that she needs to win, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, the average of the polls do, in fact, show her ahead,” he said.
“And she doesn’t need to win any of those southern battleground states, she wins those northern battleground states to get to exactly 270 electoral votes,” he continued.
The presidential election will likely come down to the battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina and Georgia. A Politico analysis explained that Trump only needs to win Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia to secure a second term to the White House.
“If Vice President Kamala Harris can’t carry Pennsylvania, her only hope is on a Southern strategy. Harris must win either Georgia or North Carolina. She has no other path to the White House. The election could well be determined when polls close in the eastern time zone,” Politico’s Jonathan Martin wrote in a Thursday column.
The Quinnipiac University Poll has Harris up 5 points in a head-to-head matchup with Trump in Pennsylvania. The New York Times/The Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College poll, released Thursday, found Harris with a 4-point lead over the former president in Pennsylvania.
A Franklin & Marshall poll has Harris up by 3 points in the state while the Marist poll found that Harris and Trump are tied among likely voters in Pennsylvania with 49 percent of support each.
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