Harris Gets Big Bump Over Trump In Election Betting Markets—One Week After First Presidential Debate
Posted on 09/19/2024
Topline
Vice President Kamala Harris expanded her lead over former President Donald Trump as the bookmakers' favorite to win the November election on Wednesday night, as post-debate polls showed a bump in Harris' favor in key swing states.
Key Facts
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What The Consolidated Betting Numbers Say?
On the Election Betting Odds tracker, which consolidates betting numbers from four separate markets, Harris now has a 54.2% chance of winning the presidency—nearly 10 points higher than Trump’s 44.7%.
Big Number
3.3%. That is the size of Harris’ lead over Trump in national polls, according to FiveThirtyEight’s weighted average.
Surprising Fact
As of early Thursday, bookmakers on Polymarket believe there is a 32% chance of a second debate between Harris and Trump. Although bettors believe the odds of a second debate have risen slightly in the past 24 hours, the former president made it clear last week he does not want a rematch.
Further Reading
Vice President Kamala Harris expanded her lead over former President Donald Trump as the bookmakers' favorite to win the November election on Wednesday night, as post-debate polls showed a bump in Harris' favor in key swing states.
Key Facts
Get Forbes Breaking News Text Alerts: We’re launching text message alerts so you'll always know the biggest stories shaping the day’s headlines. Text “Alerts” to (201) 335-0739 or sign up here.
What The Consolidated Betting Numbers Say?
On the Election Betting Odds tracker, which consolidates betting numbers from four separate markets, Harris now has a 54.2% chance of winning the presidency—nearly 10 points higher than Trump’s 44.7%.
Big Number
3.3%. That is the size of Harris’ lead over Trump in national polls, according to FiveThirtyEight’s weighted average.
Surprising Fact
As of early Thursday, bookmakers on Polymarket believe there is a 32% chance of a second debate between Harris and Trump. Although bettors believe the odds of a second debate have risen slightly in the past 24 hours, the former president made it clear last week he does not want a rematch.
Further Reading
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