A broad area of low pressure continues to organize as it moves across the western Caribbean.

The National Hurricane Center has designated the area as Potential Tropical Cyclone 18. It is forecasted to strengthen into a tropical storm on Monday, taking the name Rafael.

P.T.C 18 will continue northwest over Jamaica and the Cayman Islands through Tuesday. A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the Cayman Islands, and a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Jamaica.

Cuba will begin to see impacts as early as Tuesday afternoon. By Wednesday, the system could upgrade to a Category 1 hurricane as it enters the eastern Gulf of Mexico. It is forecasted to weaken back to a tropical storm as it moves further into the Gulf.

There is still a high level of uncertainty after the storm enters the Gulf, as can be seen by the wide forecast cone of uncertainty for the storm. Interests from the Texas Gulf Coast all the way to the Florida Panhandle should keep a close eye on this system.

Please stay connected as we could see changes to the forecast.