PHOENIX (AZFamily) — Vice President Kamala Harris is running neck and neck with former President Donald Trump in the key battleground state of Arizona, according to a new poll by Arizona’s Family and public affairs polling firm HighGround.

Early voting begins next week, and the survey released on Wednesday revealed that Harris is winning 47.6% of likely voters compared to 45.5% for Trump.

Harris’ two-point lead is within the margin of error of four percentage points, meaning the race for the state’s 11 electoral votes is a statistical dead heat.

The results show Democratic voters are more enthusiastic about their choice at the top of the ballot than Republicans, with one week left until early voting starts.

Harris is winning 94.2% of Democrats and 12% of Republicans. On the other hand, Trump is polling at 84.2% with Republicans while only convincing 1.7% of Democrats to crossover.

“What we’re really seeing is the Democrats are much more solidified behind their candidate and have very much circled the wagons,” said Paul Bentz, a GOP pollster with HighGround. “Whereas Republicans are still struggling internally with at least a portion of their party.”

In addition, the polls revealed that 45% of voters have definitively decided to vote for Harris, while 41% said they are voting for Trump.

The Democratic nominee also did better with a reliably Republican block of voters. Trump and Harris are evenly split with voters 65 years and older at 48% apiece.

The two presidential candidates are also running even with another fundamental block that could swing the election. Harris and Trump each captured 44.6% of unaffiliated voters.

HighGround broke down unaffiliated voters even further. About one-third of these voters consider themselves independents, of which Trump is winning 51.4% to Harris’ 31.4%.

Trump also leads 54.4% compared to Harris’ 41.2% among voters 50 to 64.

Another critical difference emerging in this race appears to be gender.

Harris leads Trump by a wide margin among female voters at 52.1% to 40.6%. Trump does better with male voters, with the GOP nominee getting 50.6% compared to 42.7%.

Arizona’s Family/HighGround poll surveyed 500 likely voters from Sept. 26 through Sept. 29. Margin of error: ±4.38%.

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