Tropical development is possible from the western Caribbean Sea into the Gulf of Mexico later this week, and while the U.S. Gulf Coast should monitor this possible system, it's too early to determine if it will bring significant impacts.
Where the potential system is now: A broad area of low pressure is located in the western Caribbean Sea near the "X" in the map below, according to the latest National Hurricane Center Outlook (NHC). It's producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity at this time.
When it might develop: The NHC says conditions in the western Caribbean are hospitable for some gradual development of this system in the coming days.
A tropical depression could form later this week or over the weekend while the system tracks northwestward. That could happen in either the northwest Caribbean or southern Gulf.
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What the U.S. Gulf Coast should know for now: It’s still too early to determine what impacts, if any, the system could have on the continental U.S, but locals should keep an eye on the forecast.
The eastern Gulf Coast and Florida would be most favored for impacts regardless if a system forms or not. Enhanced rainfall in those areas is one possible impact by late week or this weekend, regardless of tropical development.
Check back to weather.com for updates in the coming days as the details come more into focus.