Disturbance near Florida could form into tropical depression next week, NHC says
Disturbance near Florida could form into tropical depression next week, NHC says
    Posted on 09/21/2024
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of interest in the Caribbean that could impact Florida.In addition, the NHC is monitoring an additional disturbance in the Atlantic, remnants of Gordon and a tropical wave that is expected to move from the African coast.Area of interest in the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of MexicoAccording to the NHC, a broad area of low pressure is expected to form early next week in the northwestern Caribbean Sea. As the system slowly starts to move north or northwest after that, officials say gradual development is possible.The NHC says a tropical depression is expected to form, possibly by the end of the week.While most major models agree on the low pressure development in the Gulf of Mexico, there is some disagreement on where the system will go after that. Though models are becoming more consistent with one another, the lack of formation so far makes it difficult to know where the system will go or how intense it could become. When or if the system forms, more data will become available, and models will become stronger. For now, they should be interpreted loosely as trends to keep on your radar.WESH 2's First Warning Weather Team is closely monitoring the area of interest and will bring you the latest updates.Formation chances for this system remain "medium," at a 60% chance of formation in the next week. In the next 48 hours, formation chances are nearly zero percent. Central and western subtropical Atlantic: Invest 96-LAfter tagging this area of interest Thursday, the NHC says Invest 96-L, currently 700 miles southeast of Bermuda, producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms.Tracking the tropics: What’s an invest?However, the NHC says significant development is not likely due to the dry environment. At this time, the invest has a 10% chance of forming in the next 48 hours and the next seven days. >> RELATED: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024>> WATCH: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2Eastern and central tropical AtlanticThe NHC says a tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of Africa Sunday or Monday. The system is expected to develop into a tropical depression next week while it moves westward across the east and central tropical Atlantic, NHC says.Formation chances through the next seven days are 40% and nearly zero percent in the next two days. GordonEven though Gordon is not expected to affect land, the NHC says it's producing upper-level winds. The remnants of Gordon are located over 1000 miles southwest of the Azores. The NHC says further development of Gordon is not expected as it moves slowly northwestward over the central Atlantic. Formation chances are very low, dropping to 0% for the next 48 hours and seven days.Models do not show Gordon impacting Florida. First Warning WeatherStay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.RadarSevere Weather AlertsDownload the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.

The National Hurricane Center is monitoring an area of interest in the Caribbean that could impact Florida.

In addition, the NHC is monitoring an additional disturbance in the Atlantic, remnants of Gordon and a tropical wave that is expected to move from the African coast.

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Area of interest in the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico

According to the NHC, a broad area of low pressure is expected to form early next week in the northwestern Caribbean Sea. As the system slowly starts to move north or northwest after that, officials say gradual development is possible.

The NHC says a tropical depression is expected to form, possibly by the end of the week.

While most major models agree on the low pressure development in the Gulf of Mexico, there is some disagreement on where the system will go after that. Though models are becoming more consistent with one another, the lack of formation so far makes it difficult to know where the system will go or how intense it could become.

When or if the system forms, more data will become available, and models will become stronger. For now, they should be interpreted loosely as trends to keep on your radar.

WESH 2's First Warning Weather Team is closely monitoring the area of interest and will bring you the latest updates.

Formation chances for this system remain "medium," at a 60% chance of formation in the next week. In the next 48 hours, formation chances are nearly zero percent.

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Central and western subtropical Atlantic: Invest 96-L

After tagging this area of interest Thursday, the NHC says Invest 96-L, currently 700 miles southeast of Bermuda, producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms.

Tracking the tropics: What’s an invest?

However, the NHC says significant development is not likely due to the dry environment.

At this time, the invest has a 10% chance of forming in the next 48 hours and the next seven days.

>> RELATED: WESH 2 Hurricane Survival Guide 2024

>> WATCH: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

Eastern and central tropical Atlantic

The NHC says a tropical wave is expected to move westward from the coast of Africa Sunday or Monday.

The system is expected to develop into a tropical depression next week while it moves westward across the east and central tropical Atlantic, NHC says.

Formation chances through the next seven days are 40% and nearly zero percent in the next two days.

Gordon

Even though Gordon is not expected to affect land, the NHC says it's producing upper-level winds.

The remnants of Gordon are located over 1000 miles southwest of the Azores.

The NHC says further development of Gordon is not expected as it moves slowly northwestward over the central Atlantic.

Formation chances are very low, dropping to 0% for the next 48 hours and seven days.

Models do not show Gordon impacting Florida.

First Warning Weather

Stay with WESH 2 online and on-air for the most accurate Central Florida weather forecast.

Radar

Severe Weather Alerts

Download the WESH 2 News app to get the most up-to-date weather alerts.

The First Warning Weather team includes First Warning Chief Meteorologist Tony Mainolfi, Eric Burris, Kellianne Klass, Marquise Meda and Cam Tran.
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